1st Division · Mar 22, 2026 13:00
Burreli
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Pogradeci
PWR 35
27% 29% 44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pogradeci Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5 65%
65%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Burreli LDDLD
STABLE
Pogradeci WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Burreli
vs
0.94
Pogradeci
Goal Probability
Burreli
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Pogradeci
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-2 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 86% 14% OVER
1.5 59% 41% -
2.5 32% 69% UNDER
3.5 14% 86% UNDER
4.5 5% 95% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#5
Burreli
-2
Gap
#3
Pogradeci
WR 46% 30 pts WR 55% 43 pts
Burreli 6.0%
Mar 18 Burreli v Kastrio… 5-2
Mar 14 Burreli v FK Kuke… 0-0
Mar 07 Burreli v Iliria … 0-0
Mar 01 Burreli v Besa Ka… 1-0
Feb 22 Burreli v Korabi … 0-0
Feb 15 Burreli v Pograde… 2-0
Feb 08 Burreli v Iliria … 1-1
Feb 01 Burreli v Lushnja 0-1
Jan 24 Burreli v Laci 1-2
Jan 17 Burreli v Apoloni… 2-0
Pogradeci 16.0%
Mar 18 Pograde… v Iliria … 3-0
Mar 14 Pograde… v Besa Ka… 2-3
Mar 07 Pograde… v Korabi … 0-1
Feb 28 Pograde… v Apoloni… 0-1
Feb 21 Pograde… v Lushnja 1-0
Feb 15 Pograde… v Burreli 2-0
Feb 07 Pograde… v Apoloni… 2-2
Jan 31 Pograde… v Korabi … 3-1
Jan 24 Pograde… v Kastrio… 2-4
Jan 17 Pograde… v Besa Ka… 0-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Feb 15, 2026 Pogradeci 2-0 Burreli
Nov 07, 2025 Burreli 2-0 Pogradeci
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pogradeci in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.