National League · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Rochdale
PWR 49
Tamworth
PWR 30
Rochdale
PWR 49
3 - 2
FT
Tamworth
PWR 30
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 69% home + 19% draw = 88% combined
92%
accuracy
1.19x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Rochdale to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
WRONG 3-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
88%
Home/Draw
1.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.37x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
59Attack35
80Defense50
Goals/G
2.01.2
Conc/G
0.71.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Rochdale
LWWWW
STABLE
Tamworth
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): National League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
Rochdalevs
0.43
TamworthGoal Probability
Rochdale
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Tamworth
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)4-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Rochdale+10
Gap#11
Tamworth
WR 84% 91 pts
WR 26% 48 pts
Rochdale
16.0%
| Mar 17 | Rochdale v Southend | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Rochdale v Eastlei… | 1-3 |
| Mar 07 | Rochdale v Bolton | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Rochdale v Crawley… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Rochdale v Aldersh… | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | Rochdale v FC Hali… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Rochdale v Woking | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Rochdale v Scuntho… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Rochdale v Yeovil … | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Rochdale v Forest … | 2-1 |
Tamworth
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Tamworth v Carlisle | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Tamworth v Wealdst… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Tamworth v Woking | 3-1 |
| Mar 03 | Tamworth v Yeovil … | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Tamworth v Boreham… | 3-2 |
| Feb 24 | Tamworth v Altrinc… | 5-1 |
| Feb 21 | Tamworth v Bolton | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Tamworth v West Ha… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Tamworth v Aldersh… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Tamworth v Morecam… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 13, 2026 | Tamworth | 1-1 | Rochdale |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Tamworth | 1-2 | Rochdale |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Tamworth | 1-1 | Rochdale |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Rochdale | 3-0 | Tamworth |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
85%
Market
70%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rochdale in strong form (4W in last 5)
Tamworth struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.