Primera Nacional · Mar 21, 2026 17:00
Almagro
PWR 35
Quilmes
PWR 35
Almagro
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Quilmes
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.5x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.63x
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Almagro
DLLDL
STABLE
Quilmes
WLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Almagrovs
0.66
QuilmesGoal Probability
Almagro
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Quilmes
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (49%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (6%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 1.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Almagro-7
Gap#10
Quilmes
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Almagro
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Almagro v Midland | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Almagro v Gimnasi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Almagro v San Mar… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Almagro v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Almagro v Club At… | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Almagro v Patrona… | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Almagro v Ferro C… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Almagro v Los And… | 1-0 |
| Sep 05 | Almagro v San Mig… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Almagro v Quilmes | 2-2 |
Quilmes
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Quilmes v Patrona… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Quilmes v Gimnasi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Quilmes v Midland | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Quilmes v Atlanta | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Quilmes v Tristan… | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Quilmes v San Mar… | 1-1 |
| Sep 23 | Quilmes v Club At… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Quilmes v Patrona… | 1-0 |
| Sep 08 | Quilmes v Ferro C… | 0-0 |
| Aug 31 | Quilmes v Almagro | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Almagro | 2-2 | Quilmes |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Quilmes | 0-1 | Almagro |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
36%
Market
41%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Almagro struggling (3L in last 5)
Quilmes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.