Primera Nacional · Mar 22, 2026 19:00
San Telmo
PWR 35
Unión Santa Fe
PWR 39
San Telmo
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Unión Santa Fe
PWR 39
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: San Telmo to win (83% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-3 (4%)3-2 (4%)2-3 (3%)2-2 (2%)3-1 (2%)2-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 95%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack24
100Defense65
Goals/G
0.00.7
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
San Telmo
DLDLL
STABLE
Unión Santa Fe
LDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
San Telmovs
3.17
Unión Santa FeGoal Probability
San Telmo
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Unión Santa…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)1-2 (10%)0-2 (10%)1-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#24
San Telmo+1
Gap#25
Unión Santa…
WR 27% 50 pts
WR 28% 47 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Telmo | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 58 | 50 |
| Unión Santa Fe | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 43 | 47 |
San Telmo
4.0%
| Mar 14 | San Tel… v San Mig… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | San Tel… v Acassuso | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | San Tel… v Chaco F… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | San Tel… v Ferro C… | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | San Tel… v Agropec… | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | San Tel… v Gimnasi… | 3-2 |
| Sep 20 | San Tel… v Gimnasi… | 2-0 |
| Sep 14 | San Tel… v Central… | 3-1 |
| Sep 08 | San Tel… v Almiran… | 1-0 |
| Aug 30 | San Tel… v Chaco F… | 0-2 |
Unión Santa Fe
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Unión S… v Defensa… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Unión S… v Boca Ju… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Unión S… v Acassuso | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Unión S… v Indepen… | 4-4 |
| Mar 01 | Unión S… v Institu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Unión S… v Ferro C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Unión S… v Sarmien… | 1-3 |
| Feb 23 | Unión S… v Aldosivi | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Unión S… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Unión S… v San Lor… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 16, 2025 | San Telmo | 1-0 | Unión Santa Fe |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Unión Santa Fe | 0-1 | San Telmo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
San Telmo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.