Primera División · Mar 21, 2026 16:00
Cusco
PWR 35
UCV Moquegua
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Cusco
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
UCV Moquegua Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.79x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.45x
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
UCV Moquegua
LWDWL
STABLE
Cusco
LWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (21.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
UCV Moqueguavs
0.53
CuscoGoal Probability
UCV Moquegua
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Cusco
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
UCV Moquegua-1
Gap#13
Cusco
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
UCV Moquegua
10.0%
| Mar 15 | UCV Moq… v Alianza… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | UCV Moq… v Sport H… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | UCV Moq… v Sport B… | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | UCV Moq… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | UCV Moq… v FBC Mel… | 4-0 |
| Feb 06 | UCV Moq… v UTC | 2-3 |
| Feb 02 | UCV Moq… v Comerci… | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | UCV Moq… v César V… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | UCV Moq… v César V… | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | UCV Moq… v FC Caja… | 2-0 |
Cusco
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Cusco v Ciencia… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Cusco v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Cusco v Juan Pa… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Cusco v Comerci… | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | Cusco v UTC | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Cusco v Univers… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Cusco v Alianza… | 1-0 |
| Dec 14 | Cusco v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | Cusco v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Cusco v Sport H… | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
48%
Market
35%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cusco struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.