Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 21, 2026 21:00
Monagas SC
PWR 35
Caracas FC
PWR 35
Monagas SC
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Caracas FC
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Monagas SC Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Monagas SC
LWWDL
STABLE
Caracas FC
WDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 75% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Monagas SCvs
0.56
Caracas FCGoal Probability
Monagas SC
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Caracas FC
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (17%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Monagas SC+1
Gap#12
Caracas FC
WR 50% 6 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Monagas SC
10.0%
| Mar 18 | Monagas… v Metropo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Monagas… v Academi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Monagas… v Trujill… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Monagas… v Puerto … | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Monagas… v Portugu… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Monagas… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Monagas… v Carabob… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Monagas… v UCV | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Monagas… v Real Es… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Monagas… v Zamora | 1-0 |
Caracas FC
10.0%
| Mar 17 | Caracas… v Trujill… | 4-2 |
| Mar 14 | Caracas… v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Caracas… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Caracas… v Metropo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Caracas… v Carabob… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Caracas… v UCV | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Caracas… v Real Es… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Caracas… v Puerto … | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Caracas… v Estudia… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Caracas… v Carabob… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Monagas SC | 2-2 | Caracas FC |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Caracas FC | 1-4 | Monagas SC |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.