Liga Pro · Mar 22, 2026 23:15
Mushuc Runa
PWR 35
Emelec
PWR 35
Mushuc Runa
PWR 35
VS
Emelec
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mushuc Runa Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (20%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mushuc Runa
LDLDD
STABLE
Emelec
WWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Mushuc Runavs
0.20
EmelecGoal Probability
Mushuc Runa
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Emelec
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (17%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Mushuc Runa-3
Gap#12
Emelec
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Mushuc Runa
6.0%
| Mar 19 | Mushuc … v Orense … | 3-2 |
| Mar 15 | Mushuc … v Macará | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Mushuc … v Indepen… | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Mushuc … v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mushuc … v Aucas | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Mushuc … v Cuniburo | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Mushuc … v Tecnico… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Mushuc … v Manta | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Mushuc … v Tecnico… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Mushuc … v Manta | 1-1 |
Emelec
10.0%
| Mar 20 | Emelec v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Emelec v Orense … | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Emelec v Barcelo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Emelec v DelfĂn … | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Emelec v Deporti… | 5-1 |
| Dec 16 | Emelec v El Naci… | 5-0 |
| Dec 09 | Emelec v Macará | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | Emelec v DelfĂn … | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Emelec v Aucas | 0-2 |
| Nov 09 | Emelec v El Naci… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 20, 2025 | Emelec | 1-0 | Mushuc Runa |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Mushuc Runa | 1-1 | Emelec |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.