Liga Pro · Mar 23, 2026 21:30
Guayaquil City
PWR 35
Leones del Norte
PWR 35
Guayaquil City
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Leones del Norte
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Guayaquil City to win (80% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
80%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.38x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.88x
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guayaquil City
WDLDL
STABLE
Leones del Nor…
LDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 167% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Guayaquil Cityvs
0.67
Leones del Nor…Goal Probability
Guayaquil C…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Leones del …
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Guayaquil C…+5
Gap#16
Leones del …
WR 0% 5 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Guayaquil City
8.0%
| Mar 18 | Guayaqu… v Manta | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Guayaqu… v Barcelo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Guayaqu… v DelfĂn … | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guayaqu… v Aucas | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Guayaqu… v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Guayaqu… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Guayaqu… v Barcelo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Guayaqu… v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Guayaqu… v 9 de Oc… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Guayaqu… v San Ant… | 1-3 |
Leones del Nor…
6.0%
| Mar 18 | Leones … v LDU Qui… | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | Leones … v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Leones … v Univers… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Leones … v Liberta… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Leones … v Macará | 0-0 |
| Oct 16 | Leones … v San Ant… | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Leones … v Gualace… | 2-3 |
| Oct 08 | Leones … v Emelec | 0-0 |
| Oct 03 | Leones … v UT Coto… | 1-0 |
| Sep 25 | Leones … v 9 de Oc… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2024 | Guayaquil City | 2-0 | Leones del No… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
58%
Market
49%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.