Liga Pro · Mar 21, 2026 21:30

Deportivo Cuenca
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Macará
PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (27%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (4%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5 86%
86%
BTTS No
No 21%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportivo Cuen… LDWWW
STABLE
Macará WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Deportivo Cuen…
vs
0.45
Macará
Goal Probability
Deportivo C…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Macará
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 70% 30% OVER
1.5 34% 66% UNDER
2.5 12% 88% UNDER
3.5 3% 97% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#8
Deportivo C…
-6
Gap
#2
Macará
WR 50% 7 pts WR 50% 9 pts
Deportivo Cuen… 14.0%
Mar 17 Deporti… v Univers… 1-0
Mar 14 Deporti… v Leones … 1-1
Mar 08 Deporti… v Aucas 0-1
Mar 05 Deporti… v Liberta… 3-0
Mar 01 Deporti… v Barcelo… 2-1
Feb 22 Deporti… v Delfín … 1-0
Feb 08 Deporti… v Guayaqu… 0-0
Dec 20 Deporti… v Emelec 5-1
Dec 13 Deporti… v Macará 0-1
Dec 06 Deporti… v Delfín … 0-0
Macará 16.0%
Mar 18 Macará v Delfín … 1-0
Mar 15 Macará v Mushuc … 0-0
Mar 08 Macará v Tecnico… 1-1
Mar 06 Macará v Orense … 0-1
Mar 01 Macará v LDU Qui… 0-2
Feb 22 Macará v Leones … 0-0
Jan 25 Macará v FBC Mel… 2-1
Dec 20 Macará v Aucas 0-2
Dec 13 Macará v Deporti… 0-1
Dec 09 Macará v Emelec 0-2
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 13, 2025 Macará 0-1 Deportivo Cue…
Nov 08, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 0-2 Macará
Aug 02, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 1-1 Macará
Apr 10, 2025 Macará 0-1 Deportivo Cue…
Aug 24, 2024 Macará 3-1 Deportivo Cue…
Mar 20, 2024 Deportivo Cue… 1-1 Macará
Aug 27, 2022 Deportivo Cue… 1-1 Macará
Apr 17, 2022 Macará 0-1 Deportivo Cue…
Oct 26, 2021 Deportivo Cue… 1-1 Macará
May 08, 2021 Macará 1-0 Deportivo Cue…
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Cuenca in strong form (3W in last 5)
Macará in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.