Major League Soccer · Mar 21, 2026 17:00
Toronto FC
PWR 35
Columbus Crew
PWR 35
Toronto FC
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Columbus Crew
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Toronto FC to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)1-1 (5%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.67x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.65x
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Toronto FC
DWLLD
STABLE
Columbus Crew
LDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
Toronto FCvs
1.21
Columbus CrewGoal Probability
Toronto FC
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Columbus Cr…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (5%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Toronto FC+6
Gap#14
Columbus Cr…
WR 0% 4 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Toronto FC
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Toronto… v New Yor… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Toronto… v FC Cinc… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Toronto… v Vancouv… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Toronto… v FC Dall… | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Toronto… v AIK Sto… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | Toronto… v Orlando… | 4-2 |
| Oct 09 | Toronto… v Los Ang… | 2-0 |
| Oct 05 | Toronto… v Chicago… | 2-2 |
| Sep 27 | Toronto… v Inter M… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Toronto… v Columbu… | 1-1 |
Columbus Crew
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Columbu… v Nashvil… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Columbu… v Chicago… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Columbu… v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Columbu… v Portlan… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Columbu… v Colorad… | 1-4 |
| Nov 08 | Columbu… v FC Cinc… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Columbu… v FC Cinc… | 4-0 |
| Oct 27 | Columbu… v FC Cinc… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Columbu… v New Yor… | 3-1 |
| Oct 04 | Columbu… v Orlando… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Columbus Crew | 1-1 | Toronto FC |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Toronto FC | 1-1 | Columbus Crew |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
59%
Market
41%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.