Major League Soccer · Mar 21, 2026 20:30
Philadelphia Union
PWR 35
Chicago Fire
PWR 35
Philadelphia Union
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Chicago Fire
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Philadelphia U…
DLLLL
STABLE
Chicago Fire
WLLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Philadelphia U…vs
0.44
Chicago FireGoal Probability
Philadelphi…
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Chicago Fire
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Philadelphi…-8
Gap#7
Chicago Fire
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Philadelphia U…
2.0%
| Mar 19 | Philade… v Club Am… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Philade… v Atlanta… | 3-1 |
| Mar 10 | Philade… v Club Am… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Philade… v San Jos… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Philade… v New Yor… | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Philade… v Defence… | 7-0 |
| Feb 22 | Philade… v DC Unit… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Philade… v Defence… | 0-5 |
| Jan 29 | Philade… v Buducno… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Philade… v Sigma O… | 0-1 |
Chicago Fire
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Chicago… v Chattan… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Chicago… v DC Unit… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Chicago… v Orlando… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Chicago… v Columbu… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Chicago… v Fort La… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Chicago… v Montréa… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Chicago… v Houston… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Chicago… v Los Ang… | 2-3 |
| Jan 24 | Chicago… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Chicago… v Philade… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Chicago Fire | 0-3 | Philadelphia … |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Philadelphia … | 2-2 | Chicago Fire |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Philadelphia … | 4-0 | Chicago Fire |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Chicago Fire | 0-1 | Philadelphia … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Philadelphia Union struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.