Major League Soccer · Mar 21, 2026 23:30
Charlotte
PWR 35
New York Red Bulls
PWR 35
Charlotte
PWR 35
6 - 1
FT
New York Red Bulls
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
WRONG 6-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Charlotte
DWLDD
STABLE
New York Red B…
DLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Charlottevs
0.63
New York Red B…Goal Probability
Charlotte
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
New York Re…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Charlotte-2
Gap#4
New York Re…
WR 50% 5 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
Charlotte
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Charlot… v Inter M… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Charlot… v Austin | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Charlot… v Los Ang… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Charlot… v St. Lou… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Charlot… v San Jos… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Charlot… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | Charlot… v New Yor… | 1-3 |
| Nov 01 | Charlot… v New Yor… | 0-0 |
| Oct 28 | Charlot… v New Yor… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Charlot… v Philade… | 2-0 |
New York Red B…
14.0%
| Mar 14 | New Yor… v Toronto… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | New Yor… v Montréa… | 0-3 |
| Feb 28 | New Yor… v New Eng… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | New Yor… v Orlando… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | New Yor… v Atlanta… | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | New Yor… v Hartfor… | 5-0 |
| Jan 21 | New Yor… v Sarasot… | 1-3 |
| Oct 18 | New Yor… v Columbu… | 3-1 |
| Oct 04 | New Yor… v FC Cinc… | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | New Yor… v New Yor… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Charlotte | 1-0 | New York Red … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
New York Red Bulls in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.