Major League Soccer · Mar 22, 2026 17:00
New York City FC
PWR 35
Inter Milan
PWR 50
New York City FC
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Inter Milan
PWR 50
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: New York City FC to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (11%)1-0 (5%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack68
100Defense75
Goals/G
0.02.3
Conc/G
0.00.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
New York City …
WWWDL
UP
Inter Milan
DDLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.07
New York City …vs
0.27
Inter MilanGoal Probability
New York Ci…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Inter Milan
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
New York Ci…-3
Gap#5
Inter Milan
WR 47% 82 pts
WR 58% 99 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City… | 53 | 25 | 7 | 21 | 81 | 75 | 82 |
| Inter Milan | 52 | 30 | 9 | 13 | 119 | 73 | 99 |
New York City …
14.0%
| Mar 14 | New Yor… v Colorad… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | New Yor… v Orlando… | 5-0 |
| Mar 01 | New Yor… v Philade… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | New Yor… v Los Ang… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | New Yor… v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | New Yor… v Los Ang… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | New Yor… v Austin | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | New Yor… v Inter M… | 5-1 |
| Nov 24 | New Yor… v Philade… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | New Yor… v Charlot… | 1-3 |
Inter Milan
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Inter M… v Charlot… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Inter M… v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Inter M… v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Inter M… v DC Unit… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Inter M… v Como | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Inter M… v Orlando… | 2-4 |
| Feb 28 | Inter M… v Genoa | 2-0 |
| Feb 24 | Inter M… v Bodø/Gl… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Inter M… v Los Ang… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Inter M… v Lecce | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Inter Milan | 5-1 | New York City… |
| Sep 24, 2025 | New York City… | 0-4 | Inter Milan |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
New York City FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.