Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 19:00
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
Santos
PWR 35
Cruzeiro
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Santos
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cruzeiro Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cruzeiro
LDLWW
STABLE
Santos
LWDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 67% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Cruzeirovs
0.89
SantosGoal Probability
Cruzeiro
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Santos
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Cruzeiro-6
Gap#13
Santos
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Cruzeiro
10.0%
| Mar 18 | Cruzeiro v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Cruzeiro v Vasco D… | 3-3 |
| Mar 12 | Cruzeiro v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Cruzeiro v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Cruzeiro v Platense | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Cruzeiro v Pouso A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Cruzeiro v Uniao T… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Cruzeiro v Mirassol | 2-2 |
Santos
10.0%
| Mar 19 | Santos v Interna… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Santos v Macapá | 5-0 |
| Mar 15 | Santos v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Santos v Mirassol | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Santos v Remo | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Santos v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Santos v Indepen… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Santos v Athleti… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Santos v Oratório | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Santos v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 10, 2025 | Cruzeiro | 1-2 | Santos |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Santos | 0-3 | Cruzeiro |
| May 06, 2023 | Cruzeiro | 2-1 | Santos |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.