Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 19:00
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
Corinthians
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Corinthians
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)2-0 (21%)0-0 (17%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
74%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletico Para…
WDLWL
STABLE
Corinthians
DWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 92% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (35.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Athletico Para…vs
0.22
CorinthiansGoal Probability
Athletico P…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Corinthians
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (25%)0-0 (24%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Athletico P…-3
Gap#7
Corinthians
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 33% 8 pts
Athletico Para…
10.0%
| Mar 18 | Athleti… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Athleti… v Santos | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Athleti… v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 1-3 |
Corinthians
8.0%
| Mar 20 | Corinth… v Chapeco… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Corinth… v Remo | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Corinth… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Corinth… v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Corinth… v Corinth… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Corinth… v Amazonas | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Corinth… v Princes… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Corinth… v Amazonas | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Corinth… v Novoriz… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Corinth… v São Pau… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 19, 2026 | Athletico Par… | 0-1 | Corinthians |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Athletico Par… | 0-1 | Corinthians |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Corinthians | 0-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Oct 09, 2025 | Corinthians | 2-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Corinthians | 2-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 0-1 | Corinthians |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 0-1 | Corinthians |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 0-0 | Corinthians |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Corinthians | 0-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Corinthians | 5-2 | Athletico Par… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.