Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 21:30
Vitoria
PWR 35
Mirassol
PWR 35
Vitoria
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Mirassol
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Vitoria Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vitoria
LWDWL
STABLE
Mirassol
LDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Vitoriavs
1.00
MirassolGoal Probability
Vitoria
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Mirassol
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Vitoria+1
Gap#12
Mirassol
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Vitoria
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 1-5 |
| Mar 14 | Vitoria v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Vitoria v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Vitoria v Bahia | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 4-1 |
| Feb 23 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vitoria v GalĂcia | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Vitoria v Bahia d… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Vitoria v Serra T… | 1-2 |
Mirassol
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Mirassol v Palmeir… | 1-0 |
| Mar 11 | Mirassol v Santos | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Mirassol v Portugu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Mirassol v Cruzeiro | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Mirassol v Capivar… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Mirassol v Remo | 2-2 |
| Feb 02 | Mirassol v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Mirassol v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Mirassol v São Ber… | 0-4 |
| Jan 21 | Mirassol v RB Brag… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Vitoria | 2-0 | Mirassol |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Mirassol | 1-1 | Vitoria |
| Sep 01, 2023 | Vitoria | 0-0 | Mirassol |
| May 19, 2023 | Mirassol | 2-0 | Vitoria |
| Aug 07, 2022 | Mirassol | 1-2 | Vitoria |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mirassol struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.