A-League · Mar 21, 2026 06:10
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Central Coast Mariners
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT
Central Coast Mariners
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 66% home + 20% draw = 86% combined
92%
accuracy
1.22x
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
WRONG 4-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
86%
Home/Draw
1.22x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.1x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Melbourne Vict…
WDDWD
STABLE
Central Coast …
DWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): A-League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Melbourne Vict…vs
1.13
Central Coast …Goal Probability
Melbourne V…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Central Coa…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (6%)4-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Melbourne V…+2
Gap#6
Central Coa…
WR 50% 32 pts
WR 44% 27 pts
Melbourne Vict…
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Melbour… v Sydney | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Melbour… v Welling… | 2-3 |
| Feb 01 | Melbour… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Melbour… v Sydney | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Melbour… v Western… | 0-1 |
Central Coast …
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Central… v Adelaid… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Central… v Macarth… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Central… v Newcast… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Central… v Western… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Central… v Brisban… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Central… v Melbour… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Central… v Auckland | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Central… v Macarth… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Central… v Perth G… | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Central… v Adelaid… | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 01, 2026 | Central Coast… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-0 | Central Coast… |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Central Coast… | 0-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| May 25, 2024 | Central Coast… | 3-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-1 | Central Coast… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Central Coast… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Central Coast… | 2-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 2-0 | Central Coast… |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Central Coast… | 2-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 09, 2022 | Central Coast… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
55%
Market
68%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Central Coast Mariners in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.