Queensland Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 09:00
Caboolture
PWR 35
Logan Lightning
PWR 35
Caboolture
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Logan Lightning
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Logan Lightning Win
Score
5-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (4%)1-0 (4%)
CORRECT 0-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.53x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.91x
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Caboolture
DWWLL
STABLE
Logan Lightning
DDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.62
Caboolturevs
0.97
Logan LightningGoal Probability
Caboolture
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Logan Light…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Caboolture+4
Gap#6
Logan Light…
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Caboolture
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Caboolt… v Ipswich | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Caboolt… v Robina … | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Caboolt… v Capalaba | 1-3 |
| Aug 24 | Caboolt… v Brisban… | 0-3 |
| Aug 16 | Caboolt… v Magic U… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Caboolt… v Redland… | 2-7 |
| Jul 18 | Caboolt… v Holland… | 1-3 |
| Jul 04 | Caboolt… v Capalaba | 4-1 |
| Jun 28 | Caboolt… v Capalaba | 1-2 |
| Jun 14 | Caboolt… v Ipswich | 0-1 |
Logan Lightning
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Logan L… v Robina … | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Logan L… v Capalaba | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Logan L… v North S… | 4-0 |
| Feb 20 | Logan L… v Holland… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Logan L… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
| Aug 27 | Logan L… v Rocheda… | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | Logan L… v Broadbe… | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | Logan L… v Rocheda… | 3-2 |
| Aug 03 | Logan L… v Magic U… | 5-0 |
| Jul 04 | Logan L… v Holland… | 0-1 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
86%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.