First League · Mar 21, 2026 10:30
Septemvri Sofia
PWR 35
Arda Kardzhali
PWR 35
Septemvri Sofia
PWR 35
1 - 4
FT
Arda Kardzhali
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arda Kardzhali Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-2 (7%)0-2 (7%)
CORRECT 1-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.08x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.34x
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Septemvri Sofia
LLLLW
DOWN
Arda Kardzhali
WLDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Septemvri Sofiavs
1.05
Arda KardzhaliGoal Probability
Septemvri S…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Arda Kardzh…
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (18%)0-2 (17%)0-3 (11%)0-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Septemvri S…-5
Gap#9
Arda Kardzh…
WR 33% 21 pts
WR 31% 32 pts
Septemvri Sofia
4.0%
| Mar 17 | Septemv… v Lokomot… | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | Septemv… v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Septemv… v Cherno … | 0-3 |
| Mar 03 | Septemv… v Botev P… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Septemv… v CSKA So… | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Septemv… v Montana | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Septemv… v Dobrudz… | 3-0 |
| Jan 26 | Septemv… v Ordabasy | 1-2 |
| Jan 20 | Septemv… v Neftchi | 0-2 |
| Dec 15 | Septemv… v Ludogor… | 1-3 |
Arda Kardzhali
12.0%
| Mar 16 | Arda Ka… v Dobrudz… | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Arda Ka… v Botev V… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Arda Ka… v Cherno … | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Arda Ka… v Spartak… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Arda Ka… v Beroe | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Arda Ka… v CSKA So… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Arda Ka… v Botev V… | 2-3 |
| Feb 06 | Arda Ka… v CSKA So… | 3-1 |
| Jan 29 | Arda Ka… v Neftchi | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Arda Ka… v FC UFA | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 20, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali | 0-1 | Septemvri Sof… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
40%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Septemvri Sofia struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.