First League · Mar 22, 2026 15:30
Botev Vratsa
PWR 35
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
Botev Vratsa
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Botev Vratsa
WWLDD
STABLE
Lokomotiv Sofia
DWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 80% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Botev Vratsavs
0.63
Lokomotiv SofiaGoal Probability
Botev Vratsa
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Lokomotiv S…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Botev Vratsa+2
Gap#10
Lokomotiv S…
WR 31% 34 pts
WR 33% 31 pts
Botev Vratsa
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Botev V… v Botev P… | 1-3 |
| Mar 07 | Botev V… v Arda Ka… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Botev V… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Botev V… v Beroe | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Botev V… v Cherno … | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Botev V… v Dobrudz… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Botev V… v Arda Ka… | 2-3 |
| Feb 07 | Botev V… v CSKA So… | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | Botev V… v Vejle | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Botev V… v Vejle | 1-1 |
Lokomotiv Sofia
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Lokomot… v CSKA 19… | 2-2 |
| Mar 17 | Lokomot… v Septemv… | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 1-1 |
| Mar 13 | Lokomot… v Septemv… | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 2-0 |
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v CSKA 19… | 0-5 |
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v Dobrudz… | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Lokomot… v Ludogor… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 4-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 0-1 | Botev Vratsa |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 3-0 | Botev Vratsa |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.