2. Bundesliga · Mar 22, 2026 12:30
VfL Bochum
PWR 46
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
VfL Bochum
PWR 46
1 - 2
FT
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
VfL Bochum Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (16%)2-0 (16%)1-0 (10%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)0-0 (3%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.91x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
60Attack45
70Defense85
Goals/G
2.01.5
Conc/G
1.00.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
VfL Bochum
DWLDW
STABLE
Holstein Kiel
LLDLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 31% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/3 draws (100%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
VfL Bochumvs
0.32
Holstein KielGoal Probability
VfL Bochum
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Holstein Ki…
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
VfL Bochum+8
Gap#17
Holstein Ki…
WR 46% 33 pts
WR 15% 25 pts
VfL Bochum
12.0%
| Mar 14 | VfL Boc… v Hertha … | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | VfL Boc… v FC Kais… | 3-2 |
| Feb 27 | VfL Boc… v Fortuna… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | VfL Boc… v FC Nurn… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | VfL Boc… v Wolfsbu… | 1-3 |
| Feb 15 | VfL Boc… v SC Pade… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | VfL Boc… v SC Sand… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | VfL Boc… v Preusse… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | VfL Boc… v Bayern … | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | VfL Boc… v FC Scha… | 2-0 |
Holstein Kiel
2.0%
| Mar 14 | Holstei… v FC Nurn… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Holstei… v SV Darm… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Holstei… v SV Elve… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Holstei… v Karlsru… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Holstei… v FC Scha… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Holstei… v Hannove… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Holstei… v VfB Stu… | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Holstei… v SpVgg G… | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Holstei… v Arminia… | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Holstei… v SC Pade… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Holstein Kiel | 1-1 | VfL Bochum |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Holstein Kiel | 2-2 | VfL Bochum |
| Sep 21, 2024 | VfL Bochum | 2-2 | Holstein Kiel |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
71%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Holstein Kiel struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.