Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 22, 2026 14:00
Moreirense
PWR 45
Sporting CP
PWR 54
Moreirense
PWR 45
2-1
predicted
Sporting CP
PWR 54
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Moreirense to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
43Attack50
54Defense66
Goals/G
1.21.4
Conc/G
1.31.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moreirense
LWDWL
STABLE
Sporting CP
WDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probability
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Moreirensevs
0.37
Sporting CPGoal Probability
Moreirense
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Sporting CP
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Moreirense+15
Gap#16
Sporting CP
WR 37% 384 pts
WR 46% 38 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 281 | 104 | 72 | 105 | 345 | 367 | 384 |
| Sporting CP | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 25 | 38 |
Moreirense
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v Arouca | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v Penafie… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Nacional | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Casa Pi… | 1-1 |
Sporting CP
6.0%
| Mar 17 | Sportin… v Bodø/Gl… | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Sportin… v Rhode I… | 1-1 |
| Mar 13 | Sportin… v Chaves | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Sportin… v Bodø/Gl… | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Sportin… v Lusitân… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Sportin… v Hartfor… | 0-3 |
| Mar 07 | Sportin… v SC Braga | 2-2 |
| Mar 04 | Sportin… v Carabob… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Sportin… v Tampa B… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Moreirense | 0-3 | Sporting CP |
| Feb 01, 2026 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | Moreirense |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Sporting CP | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sporting CP | 3-0 | Moreirense |
| Nov 01, 2025 | Sporting CP | 3-2 | Moreirense |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Sporting CP | 3-0 | Moreirense |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Moreirense | 1-0 | Sporting CP |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-1 | Sporting CP |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Sporting CP | 3-1 | Moreirense |
| Dec 05, 2024 | Moreirense | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sporting CP struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.