Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 22, 2026 15:30
Leixões SC
PWR 35
Pacos Ferreira
PWR 35
Leixões SC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Pacos Ferreira
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.45x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.79x
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Leixões SC
LLWLW
DOWN
Pacos Ferreira
WWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/4 draws (75%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Leixões SCvs
1.63
Pacos FerreiraGoal Probability
Leixões SC
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Pacos Ferre…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Leixões SC+2
Gap#14
Pacos Ferre…
WR 31% 31 pts
WR 25% 30 pts
Leixões SC
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Leixões… v Académi… | 3-1 |
| Mar 08 | Leixões… v União d… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | Leixões… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Leixões… v Vizela | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Leixões… v Farense | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Leixões… v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Leixões… v Penafie… | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Leixões… v Benfica | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Leixões… v Felguei… | 0-1 |
| Jan 08 | Leixões… v Lusitân… | 2-2 |
Pacos Ferreira
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Pacos F… v Benfica | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Pacos F… v Portimo… | 2-3 |
| Mar 01 | Pacos F… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Pacos F… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pacos F… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Pacos F… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Jan 23 | Pacos F… v Académi… | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | Pacos F… v Vizela | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Pacos F… v Penafie… | 1-2 |
| Dec 28 | Pacos F… v Farense | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 03, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira | 3-1 | Leixões SC |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira | 0-0 | Leixões SC |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Leixões SC | 3-3 | Pacos Ferreira |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Leixões SC | 1-1 | Pacos Ferreira |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
55%
Market
46%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Leixões SC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.