Ligue 2 · Mar 21, 2026 13:00
Estac Troyes
PWR 42
Dunkerque
PWR 41
Estac Troyes
PWR 42
2 - 1
FT
Dunkerque
PWR 41
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Estac Troyes Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)3-2 (5%)3-3 (5%)1-2 (5%)1-3 (5%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.02x
Over 2.5
79%
79%
Under 2.5
21%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 87%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
47Attack50
71Defense67
Goals/G
1.61.7
Conc/G
1.01.1
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Estac Troyes
DWWWD
STABLE
Dunkerque
LDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.9%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Estac Troyesvs
2.91
DunkerqueGoal Probability
Estac Troyes
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Dunkerque
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Estac Troyes+7
Gap#8
Dunkerque
WR 79% 54 pts
WR 39% 39 pts
Estac Troyes
16.0%
| Mar 16 | Estac T… v Annecy | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Estac T… v Clermont | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Estac T… v Amiens | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Estac T… v Pau FC | 4-3 |
| Feb 16 | Estac T… v Bastia | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Estac T… v Annecy | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Estac T… v Lens | 2-4 |
| Jan 31 | Estac T… v Lens | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Estac T… v Guingamp | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Estac T… v Reims | 2-1 |
Dunkerque
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Dunkerq… v Red Star | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Dunkerq… v Reims | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Dunkerq… v Clermont | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Dunkerq… v Bastia | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Dunkerq… v Amiens | 1-4 |
| Feb 06 | Dunkerq… v Guingamp | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Dunkerq… v Annecy | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Dunkerq… v Lens | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Dunkerq… v Pau FC | 3-1 |
| Jan 05 | Dunkerq… v Montpel… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 29, 2025 | Dunkerque | 2-0 | Estac Troyes |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Estac Troyes | 1-0 | Dunkerque |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
74%
Market
53%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Estac Troyes in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.