Challenge League · Mar 22, 2026 13:00
FC WIL 1900
PWR 35
Étoile Carouge
PWR 35
FC WIL 1900
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Étoile Carouge
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.54x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.7x
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC WIL 1900
DDDWL
STABLE
Étoile Carouge
WLWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
FC WIL 1900vs
1.53
Étoile CarougeGoal Probability
FC WIL 1900
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
Étoile Caro…
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
FC WIL 1900+1
Gap#8
Étoile Caro…
WR 31% 27 pts
WR 23% 25 pts
FC WIL 1900
10.0%
| Mar 13 | FC WIL … v Yverdon… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | FC WIL … v Bellinz… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | FC WIL … v Neuchât… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | FC WIL … v Stade L… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | FC WIL … v Rappers… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | FC WIL … v FC Aarau | 2-2 |
| Feb 01 | FC WIL … v Stade N… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | FC WIL … v FC Vaduz | 3-1 |
| Dec 20 | FC WIL … v Bellinz… | 0-2 |
| Dec 14 | FC WIL … v Stade N… | 1-0 |
Étoile Carouge
10.0%
| Mar 13 | Étoile … v Bellinz… | 0-3 |
| Mar 06 | Étoile … v FC Aarau | 0-3 |
| Feb 28 | Étoile … v Stade L… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Étoile … v Yverdon… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Étoile … v Neuchât… | 1-3 |
| Feb 06 | Étoile … v FC Vaduz | 3-3 |
| Jan 30 | Étoile … v Rappers… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Étoile … v Stade N… | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | Étoile … v Chênois | 3-1 |
| Dec 19 | Étoile … v Stade L… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 05, 2025 | Étoile Carouge | 0-0 | FC WIL 1900 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | FC WIL 1900 | 1-0 | Étoile Carouge |
| Apr 13, 2025 | FC WIL 1900 | 2-2 | Étoile Carouge |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Étoile Carouge | 1-1 | FC WIL 1900 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | FC WIL 1900 | 2-1 | Étoile Carouge |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Étoile Carouge | 3-1 | FC WIL 1900 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
54%
Market
43%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.