Ekstraklasa · Mar 21, 2026 16:30
Lechia Gdansk
PWR 35
Pogoń Szczecin
PWR 35
Lechia Gdansk
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Pogoń Szczecin
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lechia Gdansk Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)0-0 (17%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.65x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.68x
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
74%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lechia Gdansk
LWDLW
STABLE
Pogoń Szczecin
DLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (22.8%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Lechia Gdanskvs
0.39
Pogoń SzczecinGoal Probability
Lechia Gdan…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Pogoń Szcze…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Lechia Gdan…+1
Gap#14
Pogoń Szcze…
WR 50% 31 pts
WR 17% 31 pts
Lechia Gdansk
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Lechia … v GKS Kat… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | Lechia … v Jagiell… | 3-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lechia … v Arka Gd… | 2-2 |
| Feb 23 | Lechia … v Zaglebi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Lechia … v Motor L… | 2-3 |
| Feb 06 | Lechia … v Cracovi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Lechia … v Lech Po… | 1-3 |
| Jan 22 | Lechia … v Mladost… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Lechia … v Hradec … | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Lechia … v Lokomot… | 2-1 |
Pogoń Szczecin
14.0%
| Mar 16 | Pogoń S… v Korona … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Pogoń S… v Raków C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Pogoń S… v Widzew … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Pogoń S… v Gornik … | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Pogoń S… v Arka Gd… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Pogoń S… v Nieciec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Pogoń S… v Motor L… | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Pogoń S… v FK Jabl… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Pogoń S… v Radomia… | 2-2 |
| Dec 02 | Pogoń S… v Widzew … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 21, 2025 | Pogoń Szczecin | 3-4 | Lechia Gdansk |
| May 17, 2025 | Pogoń Szczecin | 3-3 | Lechia Gdansk |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
61%
Market
42%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pogoń Szczecin in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.