Segunda División · Mar 23, 2026 19:30
Castellón
PWR 41
Cultural Leonesa
PWR 29
Castellón
PWR 41
4-1
predicted
Cultural Leonesa
PWR 29
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 69% home + 19% draw = 87% combined
92%
accuracy
1.2x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Castellón Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
63%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
88%
Home/Draw
1.2x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.36x
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
55%
55%
Team Comparison
48Attack31
69Defense53
Goals/G
1.61.0
Conc/G
1.01.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Castellón
LLLDW
DOWN
Cultural Leone…
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (21.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.15
Castellónvs
0.37
Cultural Leone…Goal Probability
Castellón
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Cultural Le…
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Castellón+15
Gap#22
Cultural Le…
WR 64% 49 pts
WR 33% 27 pts
Castellón
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Castell… v Sportin… | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Castell… v Real So… | 4-2 |
| Feb 28 | Castell… v Santand… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Castell… v Las Pal… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castell… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Castell… v Vallado… | 0-4 |
| Feb 01 | Castell… v FC Ando… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castell… v Zaragoza | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Castell… v Levante | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Castell… v Granada | 0-0 |
Cultural Leone…
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Cultura… v Santand… | 1-2 |
| Mar 09 | Cultura… v Almería | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Cultura… v Las Pal… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Cultura… v Levante | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Cultura… v Zaragoza | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Cultura… v Malaga | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Cultura… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Cultura… v AD Ceut… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | Cultura… v Sportin… | 2-4 |
| Jan 13 | Cultura… v Athleti… | 3-4 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cultural Leon… | 1-3 | Castellón |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
93%
Market
70%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Castellón struggling (3L in last 5)
Cultural Leonesa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.