Bundesliga · Mar 21, 2026 17:30
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
3 - 2
FT
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 67% home + 19% draw = 86% combined
92%
accuracy
1.22x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Borussia Dortmund Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
CORRECT 3-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
86%
Home/Draw
1.22x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.22x
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
61%
61%
Team Comparison
61Attack30
72Defense54
Goals/G
2.11.0
Conc/G
1.01.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Borussia Dortm…
WWLLD
STABLE
Hamburger SV
DWLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy73%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Borussia Dortm…vs
0.75
Hamburger SVGoal Probability
Borussia Do…
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Hamburger SV
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)2-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Borussia Do…+9
Gap#11
Hamburger SV
WR 77% 58 pts
WR 17% 30 pts
Borussia Dortm…
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Borussi… v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Borussi… v FC Koln | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Borussi… v Bayern … | 2-3 |
| Feb 25 | Borussi… v Atalanta | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Borussi… v RasenBa… | 2-2 |
| Feb 17 | Borussi… v Atalanta | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Borussi… v FSV Mai… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Borussi… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Borussi… v FC Heid… | 3-2 |
| Jan 28 | Borussi… v Inter M… | 0-2 |
Hamburger SV
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Hamburg… v FC Koln | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Hamburg… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Hamburg… v Bayer L… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Hamburg… v RasenBa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Hamburg… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Hamburg… v Union B… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Hamburg… v FC Heid… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Hamburg… v Bayern … | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Hamburg… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Hamburg… v Borussi… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Borussia Dort… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
78%
Market
69%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.