Bundesliga · Mar 22, 2026 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
Eintracht Frankfurt
PWR 32
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
1-1
predicted
Eintracht Frankfurt
PWR 32
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (14%)2-1 (7%)0-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
45Attack60
78Defense33
Goals/G
1.52.0
Conc/G
0.82.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
FSV Mainz 05
WWDDD
STABLE
Eintracht Fran…
WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 46% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 85% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
FSV Mainz 05vs
0.41
Eintracht Fran…Goal Probability
FSV Mainz 05
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Eintracht F…
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
FSV Mainz 05-6
Gap#7
Eintracht F…
WR 23% 27 pts
WR 23% 38 pts
FSV Mainz 05
14.0%
| Mar 19 | FSV Mai… v Sigma O… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | FSV Mai… v Werder … | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | FSV Mai… v Sigma O… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | FSV Mai… v VfB Stu… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | FSV Mai… v Bayer L… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | FSV Mai… v Hamburg… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | FSV Mai… v Borussi… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | FSV Mai… v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | FSV Mai… v RasenBa… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | FSV Mai… v VfL Wol… | 3-1 |
Eintracht Fran…
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Eintrac… v FC Heid… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Eintrac… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Eintrac… v SC Frei… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Eintrac… v Bayern … | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Eintrac… v Borussi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Eintrac… v SV Elve… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Eintrac… v Union B… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Eintrac… v Bayer L… | 1-3 |
| Jan 31 | Eintrac… v Progrès… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Eintrac… v Tottenh… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Eintracht Fra… | 1-0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| May 04, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Eintracht Fra… |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Eintracht Fra… | 1-3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Eintracht Fra… | 1-0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Eintracht Frankfurt in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.