Ligue 1 · Mar 22, 2026 14:00
Olympique Lyonnais
PWR 42
AS Monaco
PWR 34
Olympique Lyonnais
PWR 42
2-1
predicted
AS Monaco
PWR 34
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
AS Monaco Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
50Attack48
70Defense51
Goals/G
1.71.6
Conc/G
1.01.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Olympique Lyon…
LDDDD
STABLE
AS Monaco
WWWDW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Olympique Lyon…vs
0.97
AS MonacoGoal Probability
Olympique L…
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
AS Monaco
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Olympique L…+2
Gap#6
AS Monaco
WR 75% 47 pts
WR 33% 43 pts
Olympique Lyon…
8.0%
| Mar 19 | Olympiq… v Celta d… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Olympiq… v LE Havr… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Olympiq… v Celta d… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Olympiq… v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Olympiq… v Lens | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Olympiq… v Olympiq… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Olympiq… v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Olympiq… v Nice | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Olympiq… v Nantes | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Olympiq… v Laval | 2-0 |
AS Monaco
18.0%
| Mar 14 | AS Mona… v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | AS Mona… v Angers | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | AS Mona… v Lens | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | AS Mona… v Nantes | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | AS Mona… v Nice | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | AS Mona… v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | AS Mona… v Rennes … | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 03, 2026 | AS Monaco | 1-3 | Olympique Lyo… |
| May 10, 2025 | AS Monaco | 2-0 | Olympique Lyo… |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Olympique Lyo… | 0-2 | AS Monaco |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Olympique Lyo… | 0-2 | AS Monaco |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Olympique Lyo… | 3-2 | AS Monaco |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Olympique Lyo… | 3-2 | AS Monaco |
| Dec 15, 2023 | AS Monaco | 0-1 | Olympique Lyo… |
| Dec 15, 2023 | AS Monaco | 0-1 | Olympique Lyo… |
| May 19, 2023 | Olympique Lyo… | 3-1 | AS Monaco |
| Sep 11, 2022 | AS Monaco | 2-1 | Olympique Lyo… |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
66%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AS Monaco in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.