Championship · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Southampton
PWR 36
Oxford United
PWR 30
Southampton
PWR 36
2 - 0
FT
Oxford United
PWR 30
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Southampton Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (23%)0-2 (19%)0-0 (14%)0-3 (11%)1-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
84%
Home/Draw
1.25x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.71x
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
43Attack28
59Defense59
Goals/G
1.40.9
Conc/G
1.41.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Southampton
DWDDW
STABLE
Oxford United
DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Southamptonvs
1.68
Oxford UnitedGoal Probability
Southampton
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Oxford Unit…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Southampton+16
Gap#22
Oxford Unit…
WR 50% 60 pts
WR 21% 39 pts
Southampton
14.0%
| Mar 18 | Southam… v Norwich… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Southam… v Coventry | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Southam… v Gateshe… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Southam… v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Southam… v Scuntho… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Southam… v Fulham | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Southam… v Morecam… | 0-5 |
| Mar 03 | Southam… v Hartlep… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v FC Hali… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v Sheffie… | 1-3 |
Oxford United
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Oxford … v Charlton | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Oxford … v Blackbu… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Oxford … v Preston | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Oxford … v West Br… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Oxford … v Stoke C… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Oxford … v Middles… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Oxford … v Sunderl… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Oxford … v Norwich… | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Oxford … v Coventry | 0-0 |
| Feb 03 | Oxford … v Sheffie… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 26, 2025 | Oxford United | 2-1 | Southampton |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
92%
Market
64%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Oxford United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.