Primeira Liga · Mar 22, 2026 20:30
SC Braga
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
SC Braga
PWR 35
3-3
predicted
FC Porto
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Porto Win
Score
3-3
Confidence
37%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
SC Braga
WDLDD
STABLE
FC Porto
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.10
SC Bragavs
0.72
FC PortoGoal Probability
SC Braga
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
FC Porto
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
SC Braga-3
Gap#1
FC Porto
WR 58% 46 pts
WR 85% 69 pts
SC Braga
10.0%
| Mar 18 | SC Braga v Ferencv… | 4-0 |
| Mar 15 | SC Braga v Sanjoan… | 2-2 |
| Mar 12 | SC Braga v Ferencv… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | SC Braga v São Joã… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | SC Braga v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | SC Braga v Paredes | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | SC Braga v Nacional | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | SC Braga v AD Marc… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | SC Braga v Guimara… | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | SC Braga v Fafe | 2-1 |
FC Porto
14.0%
| Mar 19 | FC Porto v VfB Stu… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 3-0 |
| Mar 12 | FC Porto v VfB Stu… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v MarĂtimo | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v Benfica | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | FC Porto v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | FC Porto v Arouca | 3-1 |
| Feb 23 | FC Porto v Pacos F… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 02, 2025 | FC Porto | 2-1 | SC Braga |
| Mar 08, 2025 | SC Braga | 1-0 | FC Porto |
| Oct 06, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-1 | SC Braga |
| May 18, 2024 | SC Braga | 0-1 | FC Porto |
| May 18, 2024 | SC Braga | 0-1 | FC Porto |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-0 | SC Braga |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.