Victoria NPL · Mar 21, 2026 08:00
Dandenong Thunder SC
PWR 35
Melbourne City
PWR 65
Dandenong Thunder SC
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Melbourne City
PWR 65
25%
29%
46%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Melbourne City Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (44%)0-1 (23%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (7%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (2%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.95x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.48x
Over 2.5
5%
Under 2.5
95%
95%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack64
100Defense67
Goals/G
0.01.8
Conc/G
0.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dandenong Thun…
LLLLD
DOWN
Melbourne City
WDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Dandenong Thun…vs
0.51
Melbourne CityGoal Probability
Dandenong T…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Melbourne C…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Dandenong T…-7
Gap#1
Melbourne C…
WR 33% 29 pts
WR 65% 67 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dandenong Thu… | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 48 | 29 |
| Melbourne City | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 29 | 67 |
Dandenong Thun…
2.0%
| Mar 14 | Dandeno… v Hume Ci… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Dandeno… v Avondale | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Dandeno… v Sunshin… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Dandeno… v Heidelb… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Dandeno… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | Dandeno… v Dandeno… | 0-1 |
| Aug 23 | Dandeno… v Preston… | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Dandeno… v St. Alb… | 1-5 |
| Jun 28 | Dandeno… v Avondale | 1-1 |
| Jun 13 | Dandeno… v Heidelb… | 2-0 |
Melbourne City
16.0%
| Mar 17 | Melbour… v Sydney | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Melbour… v Buriram… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Melbour… v Bentlei… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Melbour… v Buriram… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Melbour… v Altona … | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Melbour… v Auckland | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Aucklan… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Melbour… v Hume Ci… | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Melbour… v Gangwon… | 0-0 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Melbourne City in strong form (3W in last 5)
Dandenong Thunder SC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.