Primera A · Mar 22, 2026 21:00
Alianza Petrolera
PWR 35
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
Alianza Petrolera
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alianza Petrol…
WDDLL
STABLE
Deportivo Pasto
WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Alianza Petrol…vs
0.89
Deportivo PastoGoal Probability
Alianza Pet…
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Deportivo P…
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Alianza Pet…-15
Gap#2
Deportivo P…
WR 20% 8 pts
WR 40% 24 pts
Alianza Petrol…
8.0%
| Mar 19 | Alianza… v Jaguares | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Alianza… v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Alianza… v Junior | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Alianza… v America… | 0-3 |
| Feb 21 | Alianza… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Alianza… v Cúcuta … | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza… v Once Ca… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Alianza… v Bucaram… | 5-0 |
| Jan 28 | Alianza… v Chico | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Alianza… v Deporte… | 2-0 |
Deportivo Pasto
12.0%
| Mar 18 | Deporti… v Chico | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Deporti… v Rionegr… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Deporti… v Cúcuta … | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Deporti… v Once Ca… | 4-2 |
| Mar 10 | Deporti… v America… | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Deporti… v Bucaram… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Deporti… v Once Ca… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Cúcuta … | 3-2 |
| Feb 27 | Deporti… v Millona… | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 28, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 0-1 | Alianza Petro… |
| Oct 05, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 3-3 | Alianza Petro… |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Alianza Petro… | 1-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| May 11, 2025 | Alianza Petro… | 2-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Alianza Petro… | 1-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Pasto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.