1. Liga Promotion · Mar 21, 2026 16:00
Luzern II
PWR 35
Lugano II
PWR 35
Luzern II
PWR 35
4 - 2
FT
Lugano II
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-0 (5%)3-2 (5%)2-0 (4%)2-2 (4%)
WRONG 4-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.37x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.35x
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
88%
88%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Luzern II
LLWLD
DOWN
Lugano II
WWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): 1. Lig
Expected Goals (xG)
3.71
Luzern IIvs
1.39
Lugano IIGoal Probability
Luzern II
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Lugano II
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-1 (4%)4-1 (4%)3-3 (4%)4-3 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 6.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
League Position
#11
Luzern II-1
Gap#10
Lugano II
WR 36% 26 pts
WR 40% 28 pts
Luzern II
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Luzern … v Biel-Bi… | 4-2 |
| Mar 11 | Luzern … v Bulle | 4-2 |
| Mar 07 | Luzern … v Bavois | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Luzern … v Young B… | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | Luzern … v Paradiso | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | Luzern … v Basel II | 3-2 |
| Nov 08 | Luzern … v Grand-S… | 4-4 |
| Nov 05 | Luzern … v Zürich … | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Luzern … v Brühl | 0-0 |
| Oct 29 | Luzern … v SC Krie… | 2-2 |
Lugano II
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Lugano … v Brühl | 4-2 |
| Mar 07 | Lugano … v Vevey S… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Lugano … v Breiten… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Lugano … v SC Krie… | 5-2 |
| Feb 14 | Lugano … v Cham | 0-3 |
| Nov 23 | Lugano … v Kreuzli… | 1-0 |
| Nov 15 | Lugano … v Lausann… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Lugano … v FC Scha… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Lugano … v Grand-S… | 2-3 |
| Oct 26 | Lugano … v Biel-Bi… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 17, 2025 | Lugano II | 2-2 | Luzern II |
| May 25, 2024 | Lugano II | 1-2 | Luzern II |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
59%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Luzern II struggling (3L in last 5)
Lugano II struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.