La Liga · Mar 21, 2026 17:30
Levante
PWR 30
Oviedo
PWR 25
Levante
PWR 30
4 - 2
FT
Oviedo
PWR 25
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Levante to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)3-0 (8%)
WRONG 4-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.46x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.85x
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
34Attack16
51Defense54
Goals/G
1.10.5
Conc/G
1.61.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Levante
DLLDD
STABLE
Oviedo
WDLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Levantevs
0.64
OviedoGoal Probability
Levante
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Oviedo
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Levante+1
Gap#20
Oviedo
WR 14% 23 pts
WR 7% 21 pts
Levante
6.0%
| Mar 16 | Levante v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Levante v Vallado… | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | Levante v Eibar | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Levante v Girona | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Levante v Sportin… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Levante v Alavés | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Levante v FC Barc… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Levante v Cultura… | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Levante v Villarr… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Levante v Valencia | 0-2 |
Oviedo
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Oviedo v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Oviedo v Espanyol | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Oviedo v Rayo Va… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Oviedo v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Oviedo v Real So… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Oviedo v Athleti… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Oviedo v Girona | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Oviedo v FC Barc… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Oviedo v Osasuna | 3-2 |
| Jan 10 | Oviedo v Real Be… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Oviedo | 0-2 | Levante |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Levante | 0-0 | Oviedo |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Oviedo | 1-0 | Levante |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Levante | 0-0 | Oviedo |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Oviedo | 3-2 | Levante |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Oviedo | 1-0 | Levante |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
54%
Market
48%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.