La Liga · Mar 22, 2026 13:00
FC Barcelona
PWR 35
Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
FC Barcelona
PWR 35
6-1
predicted
Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Barcelona Win
Score
6-1
Confidence
72%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (2%)1-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
0Attack68
100Defense74
Goals/G
0.02.3
Conc/G
0.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Barcelona
WWDWW
STABLE
Rayo Vallecano
LDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (23.7%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdPREMIUM with draw risk (24%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
FC Barcelonavs
0.81
Rayo VallecanoGoal Probability
FC Barcelona
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Rayo Vallec…
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
FC Barcelona+12
Gap#13
Rayo Vallec…
WR 100% 70 pts
WR 21% 32 pts
FC Barcelona
18.0%
| Mar 18 | FC Barc… v Newcast… | 7-2 |
| Mar 15 | FC Barc… v Sevilla… | 5-2 |
| Mar 10 | FC Barc… v Newcast… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | FC Barc… v Athleti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | FC Barc… v Villarr… | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | FC Barc… v Levante | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | FC Barc… v Girona | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | FC Barc… v Mallorca | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC Barc… v Elche | 1-3 |
| Jan 28 | FC Barc… v FC Cope… | 4-1 |
Rayo Vallecano
12.0%
| Mar 19 | Rayo Va… v Samsuns… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Rayo Va… v Levante | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Rayo Va… v Samsuns… | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Rayo Va… v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Rayo Va… v Oviedo | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Rayo Va… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Rayo Va… v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Rayo Va… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Rayo Va… v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Rayo Va… v Osasuna | 1-3 |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
Key Factors
FC Barcelona in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.