FAW Championship · Mar 21, 2026 14:00
Holyhead Hotspur
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Mold Alexandra
PWR 35
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (2%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.9x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Holyhead Hotsp…
LWLWL
STABLE
Mold Alexandra
LWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Holyhead Hotsp…vs
0.56
Mold AlexandraGoal Probability
Holyhead Ho…
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Mold Alexan…
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Holyhead Ho…+1
Gap#12
Mold Alexan…
WR 50% 26 pts
WR 39% 26 pts
Holyhead Hotsp…
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Holyhea… v Penrhyn… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Holyhea… v Guilsfi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Holyhea… v Gresfor… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Holyhea… v Brickfi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Holyhea… v Llandud… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Holyhea… v Caersws | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Holyhea… v Airbus … | 0-2 |
| Jan 01 | Holyhea… v Holywell | 4-1 |
| Dec 26 | Holyhea… v Rhyl | 3-1 |
| Dec 20 | Holyhea… v Brickfi… | 4-0 |
Mold Alexandra
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Mold Al… v Airbus … | 8-0 |
| Mar 07 | Mold Al… v Ruthin … | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Mold Al… v Guilsfi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Mold Al… v Rhyl | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Mold Al… v Penrhyn… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Mold Al… v Denbigh… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Mold Al… v Holywell | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Mold Al… v Flint M… | 2-1 |
| Jan 01 | Mold Al… v Buckley… | 2-2 |
| Dec 26 | Mold Al… v Caersws | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 16, 2025 | Mold Alexandra | 1-1 | Holyhead Hots… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Holyhead Hotspur struggling (3L in last 5)
Mold Alexandra struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.