FAW Championship · Mar 21, 2026 14:00
Cwmbran Celtic
PWR 27
Caerau (Ely)
PWR 52
PWR 52
0 - 0
FT
Cwmbran Celtic
PWR 27
67%
21%
12%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 85% home + 10% draw = 96% combined
97%
accuracy
1.1x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Caerau (Ely) to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
96%
Home/Draw
1.1x
DC X2
Away/Draw
7.23x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
69%
69%
Team Comparison
64Attack39
48Defense24
Goals/G
1.81.1
Conc/G
1.52.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Caerau (Ely)
WWWWL
UP
Cwmbran Celtic
DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Caerau (Ely)vs
0.90
Cwmbran CelticGoal Probability
Caerau (Ely)
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Cwmbran Cel…
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (10%)4-0 (10%)5-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Caerau (Ely)+9
Gap#24
Cwmbran Cel…
WR 43% 80 pts
WR 18% 44 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 54 | 23 | 11 | 20 | 99 | 80 | 80 |
| Cwmbran Celtic | 62 | 11 | 11 | 40 | 69 | 134 | 44 |
Caerau (Ely)
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Caerau … v Baglan … | 0-5 |
| Mar 10 | Caerau … v Treowen… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Caerau … v Afan Li… | 4-1 |
| Mar 01 | Caerau … v Aberyst… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Caerau … v Caernar… | 3-4 |
| Feb 13 | Caerau … v Cambria… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Caerau … v Ammanfo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Caerau … v Bangor … | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Caerau … v Trethom… | 1-5 |
| Jan 16 | Caerau … v Trefelin | 1-2 |
Cwmbran Celtic
2.0%
| Mar 17 | Cwmbran… v Pontypr… | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Cwmbran… v Llantwi… | 1-3 |
| Mar 06 | Cwmbran… v Ynyshir… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Cwmbran… v Llantwi… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Cwmbran… v Trethom… | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Cwmbran… v Cardiff… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Cwmbran… v Caernar… | 2-2 |
| Jan 02 | Cwmbran… v Treowen… | 1-2 |
| Dec 27 | Cwmbran… v Newport… | 2-2 |
| Nov 29 | Cwmbran… v Ynyshir… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 10, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic | 0-2 | Caerau (Ely) |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS55+CS68 (80.3%)ODDS60+DR<22 (78.0%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
99%
Key Factors
Caerau (Ely) in strong form (4W in last 5)
Cwmbran Celtic struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.