Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 17:00
Roma
PWR 41
Lecce
PWR 27
Roma
PWR 41
3-1
predicted
Lecce
PWR 27
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Roma Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
35Attack17
82Defense61
Goals/G
1.20.6
Conc/G
0.61.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Roma
LLDLD
DOWN
Lecce
LWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.7%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.70
Romavs
0.78
LecceGoal Probability
Roma
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Lecce
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)0-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Roma+10
Gap#16
Lecce
WR 64% 51 pts
WR 21% 27 pts
Roma
4.0%
| Mar 19 | Roma v Bologna | 3-4 |
| Mar 15 | Roma v Como | 2-1 |
| Mar 12 | Roma v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Roma v Genoa | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Roma v Juventus | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Roma v Cremone… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Roma v Napoli | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Roma v Cagliari | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Roma v Udinese | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Roma v Panathi… | 1-1 |
Lecce
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Lecce v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Lecce v Cremone… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Lecce v Como | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Lecce v Inter M… | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Lecce v Cagliari | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Lecce v Udinese | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Lecce v Torino | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Lecce v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Lecce v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Lecce v Inter M… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 06, 2026 | Lecce | 0-2 | Roma |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Lecce | 0-1 | Roma |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Roma | 4-1 | Lecce |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Roma | 4-1 | Lecce |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Lecce | 0-0 | Roma |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Lecce | 0-0 | Roma |
| Nov 05, 2023 | Roma | 2-1 | Lecce |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Lecce | 1-1 | Roma |
| Oct 09, 2022 | Roma | 2-1 | Lecce |
| Jan 20, 2022 | Roma | 3-1 | Lecce |
Decision Breakdown
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Roma struggling (3L in last 5)
Lecce struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.