League One · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Mansfield Town FC
PWR 37
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Mansfield Town FC
PWR 37
4 - 1
FT
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Mansfield Town FC to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 4-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.32x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.29x
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
40Attack27
67Defense61
Goals/G
1.30.9
Conc/G
1.11.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Mansfield Town…
DWLDD
STABLE
Northampton To…
LLLDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Mansfield Town…vs
0.55
Northampton To…Goal Probability
Mansfield T…
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Northampton…
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Mansfield T…+8
Gap#23
Northampton…
WR 37% 46 pts
WR 16% 35 pts
Mansfield Town…
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Mansfie… v Burnley | 2-2 |
| Mar 10 | Mansfie… v Reading… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Mansfie… v Arsenal | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Mansfie… v Rotherh… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Mansfie… v AFC Wim… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Mansfie… v Lincoln | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Mansfie… v Blackpo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Mansfie… v Burnley | 1-2 |
| Feb 10 | Mansfie… v Peterbo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Mansfie… v Exeter … | 0-0 |
Northampton To…
2.0%
| Mar 14 | Northam… v Brighto… | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Northam… v Bolton | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Northam… v Peterbo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Northam… v Port Va… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Northam… v Leyton … | 1-2 |
| Feb 17 | Northam… v Lincoln | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Northam… v Exeter … | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Northam… v Stevena… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Northampton T… | 2-1 | Mansfield Tow… |
| Feb 07, 2025 | Mansfield Tow… | 0-1 | Northampton T… |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Northampton T… | 0-2 | Mansfield Tow… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
68%
Market
58%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Northampton Town FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.