League One · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Port Vale
PWR 28
Bolton
PWR 39
Port Vale
PWR 28
1 - 0
FT
Bolton
PWR 39
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (6%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.67x
DC X2
83%
Away/Draw
1.27x
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
22Attack38
58Defense73
Goals/G
0.71.3
Conc/G
1.40.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Port Vale
WDLWW
STABLE
Bolton
DDWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Port Valevs
0.92
BoltonGoal Probability
Port Vale
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
Bolton
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (24%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 58% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#24
Port Vale-21
Gap#3
Bolton
WR 11% 28 pts
WR 26% 66 pts
Port Vale
14.0%
| Mar 17 | Port Va… v Blackpo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Port Va… v Hudders… | 0-0 |
| Mar 11 | Port Va… v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Port Va… v Sunderl… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Port Va… v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Port Va… v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Port Va… v Northam… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Port Va… v Reading… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Port Va… v Stevena… | 2-1 |
| Feb 10 | Port Va… v Stockpo… | 0-4 |
Bolton
14.0%
| Mar 17 | Bolton v Doncast… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Bolton v Rotherh… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Bolton v Yeovil … | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Bolton v Wycombe | 1-2 |
| Mar 10 | Bolton v Doncast… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Bolton v Wycombe | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Bolton v Rochdale | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Bolton v Reading… | 2-3 |
| Mar 04 | Bolton v Northam… | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Bolton v Woking | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 28, 2026 | Port Vale | 1-1 | Bolton |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Bolton | 0-1 | Port Vale |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Bolton | 2-2 | Port Vale |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Bolton | 4-0 | Port Vale |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Port Vale | 0-3 | Bolton |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Bolton | 2-0 | Port Vale |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Bolton | 2-0 | Port Vale |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Bolton | 0-1 | Port Vale |
| Dec 05, 2023 | Bolton | 2-0 | Port Vale |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Port Vale | 0-1 | Bolton |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Port Vale in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.