League Two · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Accrington ST
PWR 37
Chesterfield
PWR 38
Accrington ST
PWR 37
0 - 1
FT
Chesterfield
PWR 38
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.1x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.39x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
36Attack48
68Defense60
Goals/G
1.21.6
Conc/G
1.11.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Accrington ST
DDLLL
STABLE
Chesterfield
DWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Accrington STvs
1.36
ChesterfieldGoal Probability
Accrington …
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Chesterfield
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Accrington …-8
Gap#7
Chesterfield
WR 44% 48 pts
WR 37% 59 pts
Accrington ST
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Accring… v Barrow | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Accring… v Cambrid… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Accring… v Burnley | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Accring… v Barnet | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Accring… v Shrewsb… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Accring… v Tranmer… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Accring… v Grimsby | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Accring… v Watford | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Accring… v Chelsea | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Accring… v Newport… | 1-4 |
Chesterfield
10.0%
| Mar 17 | Chester… v Oldham | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Chester… v Newport… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Chester… v Shrewsb… | 2-3 |
| Mar 03 | Chester… v Manches… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Chester… v Barnet | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Chester… v Crawley… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Chester… v Birming… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chester… v Harroga… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Chester… v Bristol… | 2-3 |
| Jan 31 | Chester… v Walsall | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Chesterfield | 3-3 | Accrington ST |
| May 03, 2025 | Accrington ST | 0-1 | Chesterfield |
| May 03, 2025 | Accrington ST | 0-1 | Chesterfield |
| Nov 09, 2024 | Chesterfield | 0-3 | Accrington ST |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
34%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Accrington ST struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.