Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 12:30
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
Liverpool
PWR 38
Brighton & Hove Albion
PWR 36
1 - 1
FT
Liverpool
PWR 38
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.84x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.51x
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
43Attack49
60Defense59
Goals/G
1.41.6
Conc/G
1.31.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Brighton & Hov…
WWLLD
STABLE
Liverpool
WDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Brighton & Hov…vs
0.65
LiverpoolGoal Probability
Brighton & …
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Liverpool
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (10%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Brighton & …-7
Gap#5
Liverpool
WR 40% 40 pts
WR 40% 49 pts
Brighton & Hov…
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Brighto… v Sunderl… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Brighto… v Northam… | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Brighto… v Stevena… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Brighto… v Arsenal | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Brighto… v Exeter … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Brighto… v Notting… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brighto… v Wycombe | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Brighto… v Stockpo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Brighto… v Brentfo… | 0-2 |
Liverpool
10.0%
| Mar 18 | Liverpo… v Galatas… | 4-0 |
| Mar 15 | Liverpo… v Tottenh… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Liverpo… v Galatas… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Liverpo… v Wolverh… | 1-3 |
| Mar 03 | Liverpo… v Wolverh… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Liverpo… v West Br… | 5-2 |
| Feb 22 | Liverpo… v Notting… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Liverpo… v Brighto… | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Liverpo… v Sunderl… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Liverpo… v Manches… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 14, 2026 | Liverpool | 3-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Brighton & Ho… |
| May 19, 2025 | Brighton & Ho… | 3-2 | Liverpool |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Brighton & Ho… | 2-3 | Liverpool |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Liverpool | 2-1 | Brighton & Ho… |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Brighton & Ho… | 2-2 | Liverpool |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Brighton & Ho… | 2-1 | Liverpool |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
36%
Market
36%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.