Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 15:00

Fulham
PWR 35

Burnley
PWR 25

Fulham
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

Burnley
PWR 25
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fulham Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)0-0 (7%)
CORRECT 3-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
84%
Home/Draw
1.24x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.71x
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
43Attack31
56Defense41
Goals/G
1.41.0
Conc/G
1.52.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Fulham
DLLWW
STABLE
Burnley
DDWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Fulhamvs
1.29
BurnleyGoal Probability
Fulham
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Burnley
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Fulham+8
Gap#19
Burnley
WR 53% 41 pts
WR 13% 20 pts
Fulham
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Fulham v Notting… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Fulham v Southam… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Fulham v West Br… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Fulham v Tottenh… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Fulham v Sunderl… | 1-3 |
| Feb 15 | Fulham v Stoke C… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Fulham v Manches… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Fulham v Everton | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Fulham v Manches… | 3-2 |
| Jan 24 | Fulham v Brighto… | 2-1 |
Burnley
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Bournem… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Mansfie… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Burnley v Cardiff | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Grimsby | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Exeter … | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Everton | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Oldham | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Wycombe | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Leyton … | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Burnley | 2-3 | Fulham |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Fulham |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Fulham |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Fulham | 0-2 | Burnley |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Fulham | 0-2 | Burnley |
| May 10, 2021 | Fulham | 0-2 | Burnley |
| Feb 17, 2021 | Burnley | 1-1 | Fulham |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Fulham | 0-3 | Burnley |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
76%
Market
64%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.