Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 17:30
Everton
PWR 35
Chelsea
PWR 42
Everton
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Chelsea
PWR 42
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Everton Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (5%)3-1 (5%)
CORRECT 3-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.91x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.45x
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 70%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
33Attack53
66Defense66
Goals/G
1.11.8
Conc/G
1.11.1
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Everton
LWWLL
STABLE
Chelsea
LDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Evertonvs
1.75
ChelseaGoal Probability
Everton
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Chelsea
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Everton-2
Gap#6
Chelsea
WR 33% 43 pts
WR 47% 48 pts
Everton
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Everton v Arsenal | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Everton v Burnley | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Everton v Newcast… | 2-3 |
| Feb 23 | Everton v Manches… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Everton v Bournem… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Everton v Fulham | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Everton v Brighto… | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Everton v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Everton v Aston V… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Everton v Sunderl… | 1-1 |
Chelsea
6.0%
| Mar 17 | Chelsea v Paris S… | 0-3 |
| Mar 17 | Chelsea v Crewe | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Chelsea v Newcast… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Chelsea v Shrewsb… | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Chelsea v Paris S… | 5-2 |
| Mar 10 | Chelsea v Fleetwo… | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | Chelsea v Wrexham | 2-4 |
| Mar 06 | Chelsea v Barrow | 2-2 |
| Mar 04 | Chelsea v Aston V… | 1-4 |
| Mar 01 | Chelsea v Arsenal | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Chelsea | 2-0 | Everton |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Chelsea | 1-0 | Everton |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Everton | 0-0 | Chelsea |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Everton | 0-0 | Chelsea |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Chelsea | 6-0 | Everton |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Chelsea | 6-0 | Everton |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Everton | 2-0 | Chelsea |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Everton | 2-0 | Chelsea |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Everton |
| Aug 06, 2022 | Everton | 0-1 | Chelsea |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
35%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Everton struggling (3L in last 5)
Chelsea struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.