Premier League · Mar 22, 2026 12:00
Newcastle United
PWR 35
Sunderland
PWR 35
Newcastle United
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Sunderland
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sunderland Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.3x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.42x
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
41Attack34
59Defense68
Goals/G
1.41.1
Conc/G
1.41.1
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Newcastle Unit…
LWDLW
STABLE
Sunderland
LLWDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Newcastle Unit…vs
0.96
SunderlandGoal Probability
Newcastle U…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Sunderland
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Newcastle U…+4
Gap#13
Sunderland
WR 53% 42 pts
WR 20% 40 pts
Newcastle Unit…
10.0%
| Mar 18 | Newcast… v Barcelo… | 7-2 |
| Mar 14 | Newcast… v Chelsea | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Newcast… v Barcelo… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Newcast… v Manches… | 1-3 |
| Mar 04 | Newcast… v Manches… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Newcast… v Everton | 2-3 |
| Feb 24 | Newcast… v Qarabağ… | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | Newcast… v Manches… | 2-1 |
| Feb 18 | Newcast… v Qarabağ… | 1-6 |
| Feb 14 | Newcast… v Aston V… | 1-3 |
Sunderland
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Sunderl… v Brighto… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Sunderl… v Port Va… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Sunderl… v Leeds | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Sunderl… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Sunderl… v Fulham | 1-3 |
| Feb 15 | Sunderl… v Oxford … | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Sunderl… v Liverpo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Sunderl… v Arsenal | 3-0 |
| Feb 02 | Sunderl… v Burnley | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sunderl… v West Br… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Sunderland | 1-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Jan 06, 2024 | Sunderland | 0-3 | Newcastle Uni… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
66%
Market
60%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sunderland struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.