FAW Championship · Mar 21, 2026 14:00
Trefelin
PWR 50
PWR 50
0 - 4
FT
Cardiff Draconians
PWR 51
PWR 51
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Trefelin to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)1-0 (11%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (3%)
WRONG 0-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
58Attack55
47Defense52
Goals/G
1.71.6
Conc/G
1.51.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Trefelin
DWLWW
STABLE
Cardiff Dracon…
LLWLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
3.20
Trefelinvs
0.20
Cardiff Dracon…Goal Probability
Trefelin
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Cardiff Dra…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Trefelin+25
Gap#30
Cardiff Dra…
WR 44% 135 pts
WR 46% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 87 | 38 | 21 | 28 | 145 | 131 | 135 |
| Cardiff Draco… | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 33 | 35 |
Trefelin
14.0%
| Mar 17 | Trefelin v Cambria… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Trefelin v Aberyst… | 4-0 |
| Mar 04 | Trefelin v Cardiff… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Trefelin v Llantwi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Trefelin v Ynyshir… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Trefelin v Baglan … | 3-0 |
| Feb 13 | Trefelin v Caernar… | 0-2 |
| Jan 23 | Trefelin v Ammanfo… | 0-4 |
| Jan 16 | Trefelin v Caerau … | 1-2 |
| Jan 09 | Trefelin v Trethom… | 3-1 |
Cardiff Dracon…
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Cardiff… v Caernar… | 2-3 |
| Mar 06 | Cardiff… v Ammanfo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Cardiff… v Trefelin | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Cardiff… v Treowen… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Cardiff… v Baglan … | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Cardiff… v Aberyst… | 3-2 |
| Jan 16 | Cardiff… v Cwmbran… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Cardiff… v Cambria… | 0-2 |
| Jan 02 | Cardiff… v Caerau … | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Cardiff… v Llantwi… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 04, 2026 | Cardiff Draco… | 3-1 | Trefelin |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Cardiff Draco… | 3-3 | Trefelin |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Trefelin in strong form (3W in last 5)
Cardiff Draconians struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.