Friendlies Clubs · Jan 19, 2025 00:00
Tallinna Kalev
PWR 57
Vaprus
PWR 37
Tallinna Kalev
PWR 57
2 - 1
FT
Vaprus
PWR 37
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Tallinna Kalev to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (21%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (17%)
0-0 (7%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.7
Attack35
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.7
Tallinna Kalev Form
WDLWW
STABLE
Vaprus Form
WWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS16%
Under 2.555%
Tallinna Ka… Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Vaprus Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Tallinna Kalevvs
0.20
VaprusDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#386
Tallinna Ka…+419
Gap#805
Vaprus
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 33% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallinna Kalev | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Vaprus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Tallinna Kalev
14.0%
| Nov 30 | Tallinn… v Viimsi | 1-0 |
| Nov 24 | Tallinn… v Viimsi | 1-1 |
| Nov 03 | Tallinn… v Vaprus | 2-0 |
| Sep 01 | Tallinn… v Vaprus | 1-0 |
| Jun 28 | Tallinn… v Vaprus | 0-1 |
| Apr 07 | Tallinn… v Vaprus | 3-1 |
| Oct 21 | Tallinn… v Vaprus | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Tallinn… v Viimsi | 1-1 |
Vaprus
10.0%
| Nov 03 | Vaprus v Tallinn… | 2-0 |
| Oct 06 | Vaprus v Kuressa… | 3-1 |
| Sep 01 | Vaprus v Tallinn… | 1-0 |
| Jul 28 | Vaprus v Kuressa… | 1-1 |
| Jun 28 | Vaprus v Tallinn… | 0-1 |
| May 28 | Vaprus v Kuressa… | 2-2 |
| Apr 07 | Vaprus v Tallinn… | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Vaprus v Kuressa… | 3-2 |
| Oct 21 | Vaprus v Tallinn… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 03, 2024 | Vaprus | 2-0 | Tallinna Kalev |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Tallinna Kalev | 1-0 | Vaprus |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Vaprus | 0-1 | Tallinna Kalev |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Tallinna Kalev | 3-1 | Vaprus |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Tallinna Kalev | 1-0 | Vaprus |
Key Factors
Tallinna Kalev in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.