Primeira Liga · Mar 05, 2023 20:30

SC Braga
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Rio Ave FC
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
SC Braga Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
86%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 86%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy88%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGTABLE_EXTREMESDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdāœ“ Passed (6 independent rules, 86% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
SC Braga Form LDDWW
STABLE
Rio Ave FC Form LDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS32%
Under 2.540%
SC Braga Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Rio Ave FC Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.86
SC Braga
vs
0.40
Rio Ave FC
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings85%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
SC Braga
+10
Gap
#14
Rio Ave FC
WR 60% 39 pts WR 18% 20 pts
SC Braga 12.0%
Feb 27 SC Braga v Guimara… 2-1
Feb 25 SC Braga v Sanjoan… 1-1
Feb 09 SC Braga v Benfica 1-1
Feb 05 SC Braga v Famalic… 4-1
Feb 04 SC Braga v Fafe 1-4
Jan 30 SC Braga v Guimara… 3-0
Jan 11 SC Braga v Guimara… 3-2
Jan 05 SC Braga v Santa C… 0-4
Dec 30 SC Braga v Benfica 3-0
Dec 17 SC Braga v Varzim 1-1
Rio Ave FC 6.0%
Feb 06 Rio Ave… v Sportin… 0-1
Jan 07 Rio Ave… v Guimara… 0-0
Dec 07 Rio Ave… v Sportin… 0-2
Nov 12 Rio Ave… v Arouca 0-1
Oct 30 Rio Ave… v Casa Pi… 1-0
Oct 08 Rio Ave… v Benfica 4-2
Oct 02 Rio Ave… v Santa C… 1-0
Sep 17 Rio Ave… v GIL Vic… 2-2
Sep 11 Rio Ave… v SC Braga 2-3
Aug 13 Rio Ave… v Sportin… 3-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 11, 2022 Rio Ave FC 2-3 SC Braga
Apr 17, 2021 Rio Ave FC 0-0 SC Braga
Dec 22, 2020 SC Braga 3-0 Rio Ave FC
Jun 30, 2020 Rio Ave FC 4-3 SC Braga
Key Factors
Rio Ave FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.